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CD Puertollano vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014
CD Puertollano Logo

CD Puertollano

3 - 1
FT
Naxara Logo

Naxara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Puertollano in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Puertollano
30%
Draws
23%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Puertollano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Puertollano at 1.35 per game, Naxara at 1.24.
  • Model gives CD Puertollano a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Puertollano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 20%
Naxara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Puertollano Naxara
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
CD Puertollano vs Naxara
3:1
Jun 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Naxara vs CD Puertollano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Puertollano 85 / 100
Naxara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Puertollano Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Puertollano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naxara let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

CD Puertollano found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

CD Puertollano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naxara
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Puertollano

(Home)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
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Naxara

(Away)
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tenerife B 4
Cerceda 1
TBD -
Varea -
San Sebastian Reyes 3
CD Marino 0
TBD -
Somozas -
Pontevedra 3
Portugalete 2
TBD -
Atletico Granadilla -
Naxara 3
CD Boiro 1
TBD -
CD Puertollano -
Jerez CF 0
Arenas Getxo 4
TBD -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
Aguilas FC 1
Union Club Ceares 2
TBD -
Trival Valderas -
Orihuela 2
Union Adarve 0
TBD -
Izarra -
Anguiano 2
Pena Deportiva 1
TBD -
Betis B -
Formentera 1
Villarrobledo 1
Paterna 2
Montanesa 5
Arandina 2
CD Alcala 0
TBD -
Eldense -
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 0
AD San Juan 1
Real Avila 0
Merida UD 3
UD Badajoz 2
Haro Deportivo 3
Atletico Monzon 0
Langreo 3
CE Europa 1
Mutilvera 0
Praviano 1
Socuellamos 3
UM Escobedo 1
Rayo Vallecano B 9
Terrassa 0
Linares 1
AD Ceuta 1
CD Laredo 3
Alaves B 3
Teruel 4
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 0
Mensajero 4
Binissalem 1
Atletico Astorga 3
SD Ejea 1
Malaga B 2
UD Almansa 0
San Roque de Lepe 2
Loja 1
Alzira 1
Osasuna B 2
Yeclano 3
Semi-finals
Tenerife B 6
Varea 5
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Somozas 3
Pontevedra 4
Atletico Granadilla 0
Naxara 1
CD Puertollano 4
Arenas Getxo 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 2
Union Club Ceares 2
Trival Valderas 5
Orihuela 3
Izarra 0
Anguiano 2
Betis B 4
Formentera 3
Montanesa 3
Arandina 0
Eldense 2
AD San Juan 1
Merida UD 2
Haro Deportivo 1
Langreo 2
CE Europa 0
Socuellamos 2
Rayo Vallecano B 0
Linares 2
CD Laredo 3
Teruel 1
Mensajero 4
Atletico Astorga 5
Malaga B 2
San Roque de Lepe 4
Alzira 4
Yeclano 2
Final
Tenerife B 2
Somozas 5
Pontevedra 0
CD Puertollano 2
Arenas Getxo 1
Trival Valderas 3
Orihuela 3
Betis B 4
Formentera 1
Eldense 2
Merida UD 0
Langreo 1
Socuellamos 2
Linares 1
CD Laredo 2
Atletico Astorga 2
San Roque de Lepe 3
Alzira 2