Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Revilla vs Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
CD Revilla Logo

CD Revilla

2 - 1
FT
Castro Logo

Castro

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gallego P.
55' Event
Cagigas J. D.
70' Event
Hernando A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Revilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Revilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CD Revilla
20%
Draws
10%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Revilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Castro have won more games recently than CD Revilla.
  • Win probability leans CD Revilla's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 68%
Castro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Revilla Castro
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Castro
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Revilla
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Revilla
3:1
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Castro
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Castro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cagigas J. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernando A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Revilla 68 / 100
Castro 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Revilla Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Revilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Revilla's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: CD Revilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Revilla VS Castro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Revilla

(Home)
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 7

Castro

(Away)
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)