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CD Revilla vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
CD Revilla Logo

CD Revilla

1 - 2
FT
Guarnizo Logo

Guarnizo

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ruiz J.
53' Event
Quezada A.
Own Goal
89' Event
Quezada A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CD Revilla
35%
Draws
30%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Revilla haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 14%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Revilla Guarnizo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Guarnizo
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Revilla
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Guarnizo
2:3
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Revilla
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Guarnizo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Revilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quezada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Revilla 35 / 100
Guarnizo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Revilla Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Revilla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Revilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guarnizo let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Revilla VS Guarnizo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Revilla

(Home)
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 6

Guarnizo

(Away)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)