Sport Picks
CD Ribeira Brava vs Tirsense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
54'
54'
Silva F.
56'
56'
Mendonca K.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between CD Ribeira Brava and Tirsense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tirsense come out ahead of CD Ribeira Brava on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Tirsense's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Ribeira Brava Clean Sheet 15%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Ribeira Brava | Tirsense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.32 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs CD Ribeira Brava
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Ribeira Brava vs Tirsense
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs CD Ribeira Brava
4:1
Oct 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
CD Ribeira Brava vs Tirsense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Ribeira Brava Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendonca K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16
Tirsense Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Ribeira Brava 10 / 100
Tirsense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Ribeira Brava Tirsense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
CD Ribeira Brava found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Tirsense let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Tirsense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Ribeira Brava VS Tirsense
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Ribeira Brava
(Home) 18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0 CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3 Brito
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0 CD Ribeira Brava
29 Mar
Brito
1 : 0 CD Ribeira Brava
25 Mar
AD Limianos
3 : 0 CD Ribeira Brava
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3 Brito
22 Mar
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 5 SC Vianense
08 Mar
CD Ribeira Brava
0 : 2 Chaves B
22 Feb
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 1 Desportivo Moncao
31 Jan
CD Ribeira Brava
0 : 1 Sao Martinho
Page 1 of 3
Tirsense
(Away) 19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2 Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0 Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1 Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0 Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1 Tirsense
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2 Tirsense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1 Tirsense
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1 Tirsense
12 Apr
AD Limianos
0 : 0 Tirsense
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1 Tirsense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GD Braganca | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:29 | 48 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 49:28 | 48 |
| 3 | Brito | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Celoricense | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35:23 | 42 |
| 5 | AD Limianos | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 35:32 | 41 |
| 6 | Tirsense | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 31:22 | 40 |
| 7 | Camacha | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34:26 | 36 |
| 8 | Chaves B | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40:29 | 36 |
| 9 | Machico | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28:30 | 36 |
| 10 | Sao Martinho | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 22:31 | 34 |
| 11 | SC Mirandela | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 21:29 | 32 |
| 12 | Vilaverdense FC | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 15:31 | 21 |
| 13 | CD Ribeira Brava | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20:46 | 20 |
| 14 | Desportivo Moncao | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 26:53 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
