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Stadium Background

CD River Ega vs CD Baztan

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Baztan in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Baztan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CD River Ega
35%
Draws
30%
CD Baztan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CD River Ega have won more games recently than CD Baztan.
  • Model gives CD River Ega a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CD River Ega Clean Sheet 17%
CD Baztan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD River Ega CD Baztan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.4 0.87
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs CD River Ega
1:1
May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD River Ega vs CD Baztan
1:2
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD River Ega vs CD Baztan
3:1
Nov 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs CD River Ega
3:1
Feb 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs CD River Ega
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD River Ega 48 / 100
CD Baztan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD River Ega CD Baztan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD River Ega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Baztan conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CD River Ega's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD River Ega stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD River Ega VS CD Baztan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD River Ega

(Home)
26 Jun
CD Baztan
1 : 1
CD River Ega
19 Jun
CD River Ega
6 : 0
CD Fontellas
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
05 Jun
CD River Ega
2 : 3
Bidezarra
29 May
Pena Azagresa
2 : 0
CD River Ega
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CD Baztan

(Away)
09 Oct
CD Baztan
1 : 2
Ontinena
26 Jun
CD Baztan
1 : 1
CD River Ega
18 Jun
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
CD Baztan
12 Jun
CD Baztan
0 : 0
CD Corellano
04 Jun
Txantrea
0 : 1
CD Baztan
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