Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015

Atarfe Industrial

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Ronda play Atarfe Industrial in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. Atarfe Industrial are favorites here. Recently, CD Ronda averaged 1 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. Atarfe Industrial averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, CD Ronda won 1, Atarfe Industrial won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 19, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for CD Ronda and 1.30 for Atarfe Industrial. This points to a Atarfe Industrial double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

CD Ronda

15%

Draws

57%

Atarfe Industrial

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atarfe Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

CD Ronda picked up more points recently compared to Atarfe Industrial.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

CD Ronda Clean Sheet 19%

Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Ronda	Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played	31	34
Wins	6	10
Draws	0	7
Losses	25	17
Goals Scored	1	1.32
Goals Conceded	2.52	1.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Ronda vs Atarfe Industrial

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Atarfe Industrial vs CD Ronda

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 0 - 0

5:3

May 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Atarfe Industrial vs CD Ronda

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

4:3

Dec 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Ronda vs Atarfe Industrial

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Ronda vs Atarfe Industrial

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ronda 29 / 100

Atarfe Industrial 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Ronda Atarfe Industrial

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atarfe Industrial Win (2)

Secondary Pick Atarfe Industrial & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Ronda attacking → ← attacking Atarfe Industrial

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ronda scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Atarfe Industrial let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

CD Ronda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atarfe Industrial lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linares	38	27	7	4	88:26	88
2	Malaga B	38	23	6	9	69:36	75
3	UD San Pedro	38	21	10	7	65:35	73
4	Martos	38	22	5	11	66:42	71
5	Loja	38	20	9	9	55:36	69
6	Huetor Tajar	38	17	11	10	53:37	62
7	Los Villares	38	15	13	10	43:37	58
8	Maracena	38	16	9	13	66:52	57
9	Guadix	38	11	18	9	49:49	51
10	Mancha	38	13	11	14	36:34	50
11	Velez	38	13	10	15	49:47	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	6	18	53:70	48
13	Ejido	38	13	8	17	55:75	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	52:63	43
15	Antequera	38	10	12	16	51:55	42
16	Alhaurin	38	11	8	19	43:74	41
17	Atarfe Industrial	38	9	10	19	53:70	37
18	Villacarrillo	38	8	7	23	32:64	31
19	Atletico Melilla	38	7	9	22	29:58	30
20	Los Molinos CF	38	6	8	24	32:79	26