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CD Ronda vs UD Carboneras Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between CD Ronda and UD Carboneras finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Carboneras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Ronda
15%
Draws
0%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ronda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Ronda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Ronda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Ronda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 10%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ronda UD Carboneras
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 25 30
Goals Scored 0.94 0
Goals Conceded 2.52 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Ronda
0:3
Sep 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs UD Carboneras
4:1
Feb 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs UD Carboneras
3:4
Oct 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Ronda
2:3
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Ronda
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ronda 83 / 100
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ronda UD Carboneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ronda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carboneras has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

UD Carboneras's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: CD Ronda scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Ronda VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ronda

(Home)
15 May
CD Ronda
4 : 3
UD San Pedro
08 May
Mancha
5 : 1
CD Ronda
30 Apr
CD Ronda
2 : 6
Malaga B
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
CD Ronda
1 : 2
Velez
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UD Carboneras

(Away)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)