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CD Ronda vs Velez

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Ronda in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Ronda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Ronda
15%
Draws
0%
Velez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ronda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Velez have won more games recently than CD Ronda.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Ronda taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ronda Velez
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 10
Draws 0 10
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Velez
1:2
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs CD Ronda
4:0
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Velez
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs CD Ronda
3:1
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs CD Ronda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ronda 85 / 100
Velez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ronda Velez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ronda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Velez registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Velez let in goals in 78% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

CD Ronda's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Velez
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ronda

(Home)
15 May
CD Ronda
4 : 3
UD San Pedro
08 May
Mancha
5 : 1
CD Ronda
30 Apr
CD Ronda
2 : 6
Malaga B
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
CD Ronda
1 : 2
Velez
Page 1 of 6

Velez

(Away)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)