Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 Estadio Bahía Sur

Almeria B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD San Fernando play Almeria B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD San Fernando averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Almeria B averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, CD San Fernando won 4, Almeria B won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for CD San Fernando and 0.93 for Almeria B. This points to a CD San Fernando double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

CD San Fernando

20%

Draws

28%

Almeria B

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

CD San Fernando picked up more points recently compared to Almeria B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

CD San Fernando Clean Sheet 24%

Almeria B Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD San Fernando	Almeria B
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	4
Draws	9	9
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	0.7	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

CD San Fernando vs Almeria B

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Oct 27, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Almeria B vs CD San Fernando

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

May 19, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Almeria B vs CD San Fernando

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Jan 7, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

CD San Fernando vs Almeria B

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Mar 9, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

CD San Fernando vs Almeria B

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Saez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Almeria B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD San Fernando 52 / 100

Almeria B 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD San Fernando Almeria B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD San Fernando or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD San Fernando attacking → ← attacking Almeria B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD San Fernando scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Almeria B let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CD San Fernando went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Almeria B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 21

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Torremolinos	34	19	11	4	53:26	68
2	La Union (Malacitano)	34	21	4	9	38:19	67
3	UCAM Murcia	34	16	12	6	46:22	60
4	Antoniano	34	17	8	9	41:32	59
5	CD Estepona	34	14	13	7	43:26	55
6	Almeria B	34	15	7	12	38:36	52
7	Xerez CD	34	15	7	12	34:26	52
8	Aguilas FC	34	12	14	8	31:26	50
9	Linares	34	13	9	12	36:34	48
10	Orihuela	34	11	10	13	28:27	43
11	Deportiva Minera	34	11	9	14	37:44	42
12	Xerez Deportivo FC	34	9	13	12	29:38	40
13	Villanovense	34	9	11	14	33:39	38
14	Linense	34	10	7	17	27:42	37
15	Cadiz B	34	9	9	16	29:51	36
16	CD San Fernando	34	8	11	15	27:35	35
17	Granada CF B	34	7	5	22	29:55	26
18	Don Benito	34	6	8	20	30:51	26