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CD San Fernando vs Marinaleda

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
CD San Fernando Logo

CD San Fernando

4 - 1
FT
Marinaleda Logo

Marinaleda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 game between CD San Fernando and Marinaleda finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD San Fernando.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD San Fernando
35%
Draws
49%
Marinaleda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marinaleda come out ahead of CD San Fernando on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD San Fernando here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD San Fernando Clean Sheet 20%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD San Fernando Marinaleda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD San Fernando vs Marinaleda
1:1
Aug 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs CD San Fernando
1:2
Apr 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD San Fernando vs Marinaleda
4:1
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs CD San Fernando
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD San Fernando 36 / 100
Marinaleda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD San Fernando Marinaleda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marinaleda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

CD San Fernando found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

CD San Fernando has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD San Fernando VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD San Fernando

(Home)
04 May
Cadiz B
2 : 0
CD San Fernando
27 Apr
CD San Fernando
0 : 1
Torremolinos
19 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 0
CD San Fernando
12 Apr
CD San Fernando
1 : 1
UCAM Murcia
06 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
CD San Fernando
Page 1 of 7

Marinaleda

(Away)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)