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Stadium Background

CD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 Estadio Bahía Sur
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
del Campo R.
90'
Bouzaig A.
90' Event
Silva Teles V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CD San Fernando
33%
Draws
40%
UCAM Murcia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CD San Fernando haven't matched UCAM Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives UCAM Murcia a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD San Fernando Clean Sheet 19%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD San Fernando UCAM Murcia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs CD San Fernando
1:0
Feb 27, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UCAM Murcia vs CD San Fernando
2:3
Dec 4, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
CD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia
2:1
May 2, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Teles V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer del Campo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD San Fernando 28 / 100
UCAM Murcia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD San Fernando UCAM Murcia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: UCAM Murcia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD San Fernando found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS UCAM Murcia
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torremolinos341911453:2668
2La Union (Malacitano)34214938:1967
3UCAM Murcia341612646:2260
4Antoniano34178941:3259
5CD Estepona341413743:2655
6Almeria B341571238:3652
7Xerez CD341571234:2652
8Aguilas FC341214831:2650
9Linares341391236:3448
10Orihuela3411101328:2743
11Deportiva Minera341191437:4442
12Xerez Deportivo FC349131229:3840
13Villanovense349111433:3938
14Linense341071727:4237
15Cadiz B34991629:5136
16CD San Fernando348111527:3535
17Granada CF B34752229:5526
18Don Benito34682030:5126