Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010

CD Badajoz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Marta play CD Badajoz in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010. CD Badajoz are favorites here. Recently, CD Santa Marta averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. CD Badajoz averaged 2.16 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, CD Santa Marta won 1, CD Badajoz won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2010 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for CD Santa Marta and 1.55 for CD Badajoz. This points to a CD Badajoz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

CD Santa Marta

15%

Draws

63%

CD Badajoz

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

CD Santa Marta picked up more points recently compared to CD Badajoz.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 15%

CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Santa Marta	CD Badajoz
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	7	29
Draws	6	6
Losses	17	3
Goals Scored	0.77	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs CD Badajoz

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Badajoz vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs CD Badajoz

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Badajoz vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 23 / 100

CD Badajoz 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Santa Marta CD Badajoz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)

Secondary Pick CD Badajoz & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Santa Marta attacking → ← attacking CD Badajoz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Marta scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

CD Badajoz let in goals in 45% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Santa Marta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CD Badajoz lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 93

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Badajoz	38	32	5	1	109:19	101
2	Jerez CF	38	27	8	3	77:14	89
3	Extremadura UD	38	24	7	7	77:26	79
4	Arroyo	38	22	8	8	72:43	74
5	Merida UD	38	21	9	8	55:28	72
6	Sp. Villanueva	38	18	13	7	71:50	67
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	16	9	13	54:49	57
8	Don Benito	38	15	8	15	48:50	53
9	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:49	51
10	Imperio Merida	38	11	14	13	59:56	47
11	Olivenza CP	38	12	11	15	34:45	47
12	Miajadas	38	12	8	18	28:42	44
13	UD Badajoz	38	12	7	19	54:68	43
14	Moralo	38	12	7	19	40:52	43
15	Valdelacalzada	38	9	13	16	35:54	40
16	CD Coria	38	8	10	20	50:76	34
17	CD Santa Marta	38	8	7	23	43:70	31
18	Montehermoso	38	8	6	24	31:79	30
19	La Estrella	38	6	9	23	27:84	27
20	SP Villafranca	38	6	5	27	30:87	23