Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Santa Marta vs Montehermoso

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between CD Santa Marta and Montehermoso finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Santa Marta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Santa Marta
33%
Draws
27%
Montehermoso
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CD Santa Marta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Montehermoso haven't matched CD Santa Marta's recent run of results.
  • CD Santa Marta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Marta Montehermoso
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Montehermoso
3:0
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Santa Marta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 40 / 100
Montehermoso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Marta Montehermoso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montehermoso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

CD Santa Marta found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Montehermoso has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montehermoso
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Marta

(Home)
15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2
Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1
CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0
Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0
CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4
Valdelacalzada
Page 1 of 6

Montehermoso

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Badajoz383251109:19101
2Jerez CF38278377:1489
3Extremadura UD38247777:2679
4Arroyo38228872:4374
5Merida UD38219855:2872
6Sp. Villanueva381813771:5067
7Ciduad de Plasencia381691354:4957
8Don Benito381581548:5053
9Sanvicenteno3813121347:4951
10Imperio Merida3811141359:5647
11Olivenza CP3812111534:4547
12Miajadas381281828:4244
13UD Badajoz381271954:6843
14Moralo381271940:5243
15Valdelacalzada389131635:5440
16CD Coria388102050:7634
17CD Santa Marta38872343:7031
18Montehermoso38862431:7930
19La Estrella38692327:8427
20SP Villafranca38652730:8723
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)