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CD Santa Marta vs Montehermoso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between CD Santa Marta and Montehermoso finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Santa Marta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CD Santa Marta
15%
Draws
21%
Montehermoso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Santa Marta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Montehermoso haven't matched CD Santa Marta's recent run of results.
  • CD Santa Marta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Marta Montehermoso
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.77 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Montehermoso
3:0
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Santa Marta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 40 / 100
Montehermoso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Marta Montehermoso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Marta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montehermoso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

CD Santa Marta found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Montehermoso has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montehermoso
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Marta

(Home)
15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2
Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1
CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0
Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0
CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4
Valdelacalzada
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Montehermoso

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Badajoz 38 32 5 1 109:19 101
2 Jerez CF 38 27 8 3 77:14 89
3 Extremadura UD 38 24 7 7 77:26 79
4 Arroyo 38 22 8 8 72:43 74
5 Merida UD 38 21 9 8 55:28 72
6 Sp. Villanueva 38 18 13 7 71:50 67
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 16 9 13 54:49 57
8 Don Benito 38 15 8 15 48:50 53
9 Sanvicenteno 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
10 Imperio Merida 38 11 14 13 59:56 47
11 Olivenza CP 38 12 11 15 34:45 47
12 Miajadas 38 12 8 18 28:42 44
13 UD Badajoz 38 12 7 19 54:68 43
14 Moralo 38 12 7 19 40:52 43
15 Valdelacalzada 38 9 13 16 35:54 40
16 CD Coria 38 8 10 20 50:76 34
17 CD Santa Marta 38 8 7 23 43:70 31
18 Montehermoso 38 8 6 24 31:79 30
19 La Estrella 38 6 9 23 27:84 27
20 SP Villafranca 38 6 5 27 30:87 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)