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CD Santa Marta vs Olivenza CP Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between CD Santa Marta and Olivenza CP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olivenza CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CD Santa Marta
20%
Draws
50%
Olivenza CP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olivenza CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Santa Marta come out ahead of Olivenza CP on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olivenza CP a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 11%
Olivenza CP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Marta Olivenza CP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Olivenza CP
1:2
Oct 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs CD Santa Marta
2:2
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Olivenza CP
0:1
Sep 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs CD Santa Marta
0:3
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs CD Santa Marta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 10 / 100
Olivenza CP 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Marta Olivenza CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olivenza CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olivenza CP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

CD Santa Marta scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CD Santa Marta has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Santa Marta VS Olivenza CP
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Marta

(Home)
15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2
Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1
CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0
Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0
CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4
Valdelacalzada
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Olivenza CP

(Away)
25 Jul
Olivenza CP
2 : 5
Don Benito
14 May
Olivenza CP
1 : 1
Miajadas
08 May
UP Plasencia
1 : 0
Olivenza CP
30 Apr
Olivenza CP
1 : 1
Diter Zafra
21 Apr
Imperio Merida
1 : 4
Olivenza CP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Badajoz 38 32 5 1 109:19 101
2 Jerez CF 38 27 8 3 77:14 89
3 Extremadura UD 38 24 7 7 77:26 79
4 Arroyo 38 22 8 8 72:43 74
5 Merida UD 38 21 9 8 55:28 72
6 Sp. Villanueva 38 18 13 7 71:50 67
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 16 9 13 54:49 57
8 Don Benito 38 15 8 15 48:50 53
9 Sanvicenteno 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
10 Imperio Merida 38 11 14 13 59:56 47
11 Olivenza CP 38 12 11 15 34:45 47
12 Miajadas 38 12 8 18 28:42 44
13 UD Badajoz 38 12 7 19 54:68 43
14 Moralo 38 12 7 19 40:52 43
15 Valdelacalzada 38 9 13 16 35:54 40
16 CD Coria 38 8 10 20 50:76 34
17 CD Santa Marta 38 8 7 23 43:70 31
18 Montehermoso 38 8 6 24 31:79 30
19 La Estrella 38 6 9 23 27:84 27
20 SP Villafranca 38 6 5 27 30:87 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)