Sport Picks
CD Santa Ursula vs Herbania Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
Match Events
6'
6'
Hernandez S. A. F.
11'
11'
Gracia A.
62'
62'
Cabrera Diaz A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between CD Santa Ursula and Herbania finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herbania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Santa Ursula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Santa Ursula haven't matched Herbania's recent run of results.
- CD Santa Ursula are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and CD Santa Ursula have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 68%
Herbania Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Santa Ursula | Herbania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 40 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Herbania
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs CD Santa Ursula
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs CD Santa Ursula
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Herbania
2:0
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs CD Santa Ursula
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Santa Ursula Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera Diaz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Herbania Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez S. A. F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gracia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Santa Ursula 95 / 100
Herbania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Santa Ursula Herbania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Santa Ursula found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Herbania has conceded goals in 75% of their last 40 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: CD Santa Ursula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Herbania
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Santa Ursula
(Home) 11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1 San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 7
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1 San Miguel
05 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
1 : 0 Los Llanos
22 Mar
CD Santa Ursula
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
08 Mar
CD Santa Ursula
1 : 2 Herbania
Page 1 of 4
Herbania
(Away) 10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0 Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1 Herbania
Page 1 of 8
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0 Herbania
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1 Herbania
26 Mar
Panaderia
0 : 3 Herbania
15 Mar
CD Marino
1 : 1 Herbania
28 Feb
Tenerife C
3 : 1 Herbania
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
