Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Santa Ursula vs San Miguel Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Charrik A.
26' Event
Niebla E.
43' Event
Diaz A.

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Ursula in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Santa Ursula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Santa Ursula
20%
Draws
47%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • San Miguel have won more games recently than CD Santa Ursula.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 20%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Ursula San Miguel
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs San Miguel
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs CD Santa Ursula
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Top Goalscorer Niebla E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Charrik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Ursula 32 / 100
San Miguel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Ursula San Miguel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Ursula scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

San Miguel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Santa Ursula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Miguel
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Ursula

(Home)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 7

San Miguel

(Away)
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)