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CD Santa Ursula vs Tamaraceite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Cabrera Diaz A.

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Ursula in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Santa Ursula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Santa Ursula
20%
Draws
40%
Tamaraceite
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tamaraceite have won more games recently than CD Santa Ursula.
  • Win probability leans CD Santa Ursula's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 16%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Ursula Tamaraceite
Matches Played 32 44
Wins 10 24
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.91 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Tamaraceite
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs CD Santa Ursula
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Tamaraceite
3:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs CD Santa Ursula
1:3
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs CD Santa Ursula
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera Diaz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Tamaraceite Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Ursula 41 / 100
Tamaraceite 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Ursula Tamaraceite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Ursula's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

CD Santa Ursula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tamaraceite conceded in 59% of 44 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tamaraceite
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Ursula

(Home)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
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Tamaraceite

(Away)
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1
Tamaraceite
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
UD San Fernando
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)