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CD Santa Ursula vs Telde

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2016/2017 game between CD Santa Ursula and Telde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Santa Ursula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
CD Santa Ursula
30%
Draws
16%
Telde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Santa Ursula come out ahead of Telde on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on CD Santa Ursula taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 20%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Ursula Telde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Telde
2:1
Oct 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs CD Santa Ursula
3:2
Mar 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Telde
2:1
Dec 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs CD Santa Ursula
2:2
Apr 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Telde
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Ursula 85 / 100
Telde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Ursula Telde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telde has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

CD Santa Ursula scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: CD Santa Ursula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Telde
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Ursula

(Home)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 6

Telde

(Away)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 28 8 2 92:20 92
2 UD San Fernando 38 19 11 8 54:38 68
3 Villa Santa Brigida 38 18 11 9 64:44 65
4 Ibarra 38 19 7 12 61:41 64
5 CD Marino 38 15 11 12 51:45 56
6 Union Sur Yaiza 38 16 7 15 55:44 55
7 Panaderia 38 14 12 12 52:49 54
8 Tenerife B 38 14 11 13 57:42 53
9 SD Tenisca 38 15 7 16 66:70 52
10 Lanzarote 38 12 15 11 53:60 51
11 El Cotillo 38 14 8 16 62:64 50
12 CD Buzanada 38 13 11 14 45:48 50
13 Las Zocas 38 14 6 18 43:56 48
14 CD La Cuadra 38 12 12 14 45:50 48
15 Estrella 38 12 11 15 40:42 47
16 Union Viera 38 13 6 19 57:80 45
17 Vera CD 38 11 11 16 44:60 44
18 CD Santa Ursula 38 10 11 17 54:61 41
19 Arucas 38 10 10 18 41:58 40
20 Telde 38 5 6 27 22:86 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)