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CD Son Cladera vs Mercadal

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
CD Son Cladera Logo

CD Son Cladera

1 - 3
FT
Mercadal Logo

Mercadal

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Riudavets A.
62' Event
Sidibe A.
79' Event
Riudavets A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mercadal in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mercadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Son Cladera
15%
Draws
39%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Son Cladera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Son Cladera haven't matched Mercadal's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CD Son Cladera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CD Son Cladera Clean Sheet 68%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Son Cladera Mercadal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Mercadal
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs CD Son Cladera
2:1
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Mercadal
1:0
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs CD Son Cladera
1:2
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs CD Son Cladera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Son Cladera Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulpillo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mercadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Riudavets A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sidibe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Son Cladera 86 / 100
Mercadal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Son Cladera Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Son Cladera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Son Cladera found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Mercadal let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CD Son Cladera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Son Cladera VS Mercadal
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Son Cladera

(Home)
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Pena Deportiva
7 : 0
CD Son Cladera
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

Mercadal

(Away)
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)