Sport Picks
CD Tarancon vs Cazalegas Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 
Match Events
20'
20'
Sanchez R.
27'
27'
Morihisa K.
51'
51'
Sima I. E.
AI Match Summary
CD Tarancon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tarancon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tarancon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Cazalegas.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on CD Tarancon taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors CD Tarancon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tarancon | Cazalegas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 0.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Cazalegas
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs CD Tarancon
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Cazalegas
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs CD Tarancon
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs CD Tarancon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tarancon Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morihisa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Cazalegas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Tarancon 85 / 100
Cazalegas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Tarancon Cazalegas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cazalegas has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
CD Tarancon's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: CD Tarancon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Tarancon VS Cazalegas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Tarancon
(Home) 26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6 CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1 CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0 CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1 CD Villa
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 Cazalegas
25 Apr
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 CD Guadalajara B
Page 1 of 3
Cazalegas
(Away) 10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1 CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0 Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2 San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0 Cazalegas
Page 1 of 6
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 Cazalegas
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0 Cazalegas
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0 Cazalegas
28 Mar
Manchego Ciudad Real
4 : 1 Cazalegas
14 Mar
Albacete B
5 : 0 Cazalegas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
