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CD Tarancon vs CD Villa Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cabellud I.
21' Event
Akendengue A.
53' Event
Fizesan M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between CD Tarancon and CD Villa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
CD Tarancon
15%
Draws
44%
CD Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Tarancon come out ahead of CD Villa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Tarancon's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon CD Villa
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 18 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs CD Villa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabellud I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

CD Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Akendengue A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 42 / 100
CD Villa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon CD Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Tarancon scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Tarancon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Villa has conceded goals in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS CD Villa
2.13 Goals Scored 0.8
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 6

CD Villa

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Villa
2 : 0
Socuellamos
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Torrijos 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
3 Villarrobledo 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
4 Illescas 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Toledo 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 UD Almansa 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
7 Marchamalo 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
8 Villacanas 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
9 Noblejas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
10 CD Tarancon 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 CD Villa 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
12 Socuellamos 4 0 3 1 1:3 3
13 La Solana 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
14 Quintanar del Rey 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
15 Villarrubia 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
16 San Clemente 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
17 CD Guadalajara B 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
18 Huracan de Balazote 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)