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CD Tarancon vs Sonseca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Cabellud I.
35' Event
Fizesan M.
90' Event
Ferraris B.

AI Match Summary

CD Tarancon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Tarancon
15%
Draws
51%
Sonseca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonseca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Sonseca.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on CD Tarancon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon Sonseca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Sonseca
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs CD Tarancon
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabellud I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fizesan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraris B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 59 / 100
Sonseca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon Sonseca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonseca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CD Tarancon scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Sonseca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS Sonseca
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
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Sonseca

(Away)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)