Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Tarancon vs Torrijos Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Escoredo B.
73' Event
Lomas J. E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between CD Tarancon and Torrijos finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torrijos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CD Tarancon
30%
Draws
43%
Torrijos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Torrijos haven't matched CD Tarancon's recent run of results.
  • CD Tarancon are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon Torrijos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.53 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs CD Tarancon
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Torrijos
0:2
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs CD Tarancon
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Torrijos
2:3
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs CD Tarancon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Torrijos Compare

Top Goalscorer Escoredo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomas J. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 36 / 100
Torrijos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon Torrijos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Tarancon found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

CD Tarancon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Torrijos has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS Torrijos
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.2
75% Over 1.5 40%
75% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 6

Torrijos

(Away)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)