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CD Tineo vs Astur

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2015/2016
CD Tineo Logo

CD Tineo

5 - 0
FT
Astur Logo

Astur

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2015/2016 game between CD Tineo and Astur finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tineo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CD Tineo
15%
Draws
26%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tineo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Tineo come out ahead of Astur on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Tineo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Tineo Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tineo Astur
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.26 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Tineo vs Astur
5:0
Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Tineo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tineo 76 / 100
Astur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tineo Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tineo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Astur conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

CD Tineo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: CD Tineo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Tineo VS Astur
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tineo

(Home)
14 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 3
CD Tineo
07 May
CD Tineo
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
30 Apr
CD Tineo
2 : 4
Praviano
23 Apr
Llanera
1 : 1
CD Tineo
16 Apr
CD Tineo
1 : 0
Lenense
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Astur

(Away)
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 31 5 2 86:12 98
2 Langreo 38 28 6 4 96:25 90
3 Real Aviles 38 28 5 5 77:18 89
4 Marino De Luanco 38 20 8 10 55:23 68
5 Tuilla 38 19 10 9 66:39 67
6 CD Colunga 38 21 3 14 60:54 66
7 Real Oviedo B 38 18 8 12 63:42 62
8 Condal 38 17 9 12 50:47 60
9 Llanes 38 16 9 13 54:47 57
10 Union Club Ceares 38 13 6 19 42:60 45
11 Covadonga 38 13 6 19 35:51 45
12 Atletico de Lugones 38 9 14 15 33:55 41
13 CD Mosconia 38 11 7 20 36:57 40
14 Praviano 38 10 10 18 39:65 40
15 CD Tineo 38 10 9 19 40:63 39
16 Club Siero 38 10 8 20 37:63 38
17 Basico Urraca 38 8 12 18 34:47 36
18 Gijon Industrial 38 6 13 19 34:68 31
19 Astur 38 6 6 26 34:92 24
20 CD Roces 38 4 10 24 19:62 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)