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CD Tropezon vs CD Revilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Busacca C.
61' Event
Fernandez O.
65' Event
Fernandez O.

AI Match Summary

CD Tropezon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Tropezon
30%
Draws
31%
CD Revilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tropezon have won more games recently than CD Revilla.
  • CD Tropezon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tropezon CD Revilla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Revilla
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs CD Tropezon
0:3
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Revilla
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs CD Tropezon
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs CD Tropezon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gago R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Busacca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tropezon 59 / 100
CD Revilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tropezon CD Revilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Revilla has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

CD Tropezon's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Tropezon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Tropezon VS CD Revilla
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tropezon

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0
CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
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CD Revilla

(Away)
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)