Sport Picks
CD Tropezon vs Naval Reinosa
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 
Match Events
4'
4'
Miguelin
15'
15'
Engonga I.
20'
20'
Gomez T.
AI Match Summary
CD Tropezon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tropezon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Tropezon lately — more wins on the board than Naval Reinosa.
- CD Tropezon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors CD Tropezon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tropezon | Naval Reinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 32 |
| Wins | 25 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Naval Reinosa
5:2
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs CD Tropezon
2:3
Mar 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs CD Tropezon
1:2
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Naval Reinosa
2:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tropezon Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez T.
3 Goals Assists Leader Miguelin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Naval Reinosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Engonga I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Tropezon 77 / 100
Naval Reinosa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Tropezon Naval Reinosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Naval Reinosa conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: CD Tropezon scored in 76% of their last 41 outings.
CD Tropezon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CD Tropezon VS Naval Reinosa
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Tropezon
(Home) 12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2 CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1 CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 9
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Selaya
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1 Cayon CD
Page 1 of 5
Naval Reinosa
(Away) 13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3 Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0 Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1 Naval Reinosa
04 May
Naval Reinosa
2 : 0 Bezana
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 4 Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0 Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1 Naval Reinosa
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 4 Naval Reinosa
13 Apr
Castro
2 : 0 Naval Reinosa
29 Mar
Atletico Albericia
2 : 0 Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Samano | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:22 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 58:30 | 67 |
| 3 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 61:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 45:26 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:42 | 57 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Torina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 50 |
| 9 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 60:59 | 49 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Gama | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:56 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Barreda Balompie | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 49:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 40:59 | 33 |
| 17 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:53 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Monte | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 33:64 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
