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CD Tropezon vs Pontejos

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between CD Tropezon and Pontejos finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CD Tropezon
15%
Draws
32%
Pontejos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontejos haven't matched CD Tropezon's recent run of results.
  • CD Tropezon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Tropezon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 20%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tropezon Pontejos
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 30 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.82 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Pontejos
5:1
Dec 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs CD Tropezon
0:1
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs CD Tropezon
3:3
Oct 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Pontejos
3:0
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs CD Tropezon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tropezon 67 / 100
Pontejos 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tropezon Pontejos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Tropezon's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Pontejos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

CD Tropezon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Tropezon VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tropezon

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0
CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 9

Pontejos

(Away)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)