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Stadium Background

CD Tropezon vs Selaya

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Casar J.
55' Event
Fernandez J.
89' Event
Raba A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between CD Tropezon and Selaya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
CD Tropezon
15%
Draws
31%
Selaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Selaya haven't matched CD Tropezon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Tropezon a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Tropezon have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%
Selaya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tropezon Selaya
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 23 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.65 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Selaya
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs CD Tropezon
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Selaya
1:0
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Selaya
4:2
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs CD Tropezon
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Casar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Selaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tropezon 95 / 100
Selaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tropezon Selaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

CD Tropezon found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (37 games).

Selaya let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

CD Tropezon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Tropezon VS Selaya
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tropezon

(Home)
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
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Selaya

(Away)
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bezana 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Vimenor 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 CD Tropezon 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
4 CD Revilla 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
5 Torina 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
6 CD Laredo 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
7 Cayon CD 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
8 Castro 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
9 UD Samano 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
10 Velarde 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
11 Selaya 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
12 Atletico Mineros 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
13 Naval Reinosa 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
14 CD Barquereno 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
15 UM Escobedo 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
16 Atletico Albericia 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Guarnizo 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
18 Solares 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)