Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Utrera vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Romero S.

AI Match Summary

Conil in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CD Utrera
15%
Draws
36%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Utrera haven't matched Conil's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Utrera's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%
Conil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Utrera Conil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Utrera
4:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Utrera
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Utrera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Utrera 59 / 100
Conil 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Utrera Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Utrera scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Conil has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

CD Utrera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Utrera VS Conil
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Utrera

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
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Conil

(Away)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)