Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Utrera vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Romero S.

AI Match Summary

Conil in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CD Utrera
28%
Draws
22%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CD Utrera haven't matched Conil's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Utrera's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%
Conil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Utrera Conil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Utrera
4:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Utrera
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Utrera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Utrera 59 / 100
Conil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Utrera Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Utrera went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Utrera scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Conil conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Utrera VS Conil
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Utrera

(Home)
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
19 Apr
CD Utrera
0 : 0
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
12 Apr
Pozoblanco
1 : 1
CD Utrera
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Conil

(Away)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lucena34227569:2573
2Dos Hermanas341861069:3960
3Atletico Central341510936:2955
4Bollullos341411943:3553
5AD Ceuta B3414101038:3852
6Linense341313845:3252
7Cadiz B3414101050:3852
8Conil341571243:4452
9Cordoba B341281444:4444
10CD Utrera341281440:4744
11Pozoblanco3410131139:4443
12Chiclana3410131139:4543
13San Roque de Lepe3410131139:3943
14Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3410101436:4340
15Tomares UD341091534:4639
16Sevilla C341081634:4138
17Castilleja CF34691928:6227
18Coria C.F.34492124:5921
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)