Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Utrera vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Utrera host Conil in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CD Utrera at 1.17 goals for, 1.38 against; Conil at 1.27 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Conil slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.00, favoring Conil. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Utrera
15%
Draws
46%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Conil have won more games recently than CD Utrera.
  • CD Utrera are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 20%
Conil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Utrera Conil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Utrera
4:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Utrera
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Conil
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Utrera 36 / 100
Conil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Utrera Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Utrera scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Conil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: CD Utrera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Utrera VS Conil
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Utrera

(Home)
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
19 Apr
CD Utrera
0 : 0
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
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Conil

(Away)
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Egabrense 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Betis C 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Portuense 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Conil 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Cadiz B 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Tomares UD 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 San Roque de Lepe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 AD Ceuta B 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Linense 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Pozoblanco 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Xerez Deportivo FC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Cordoba B 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Sevilla C 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Bollullos 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 CD Utrera 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)