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CD Villa vs Villarrubia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Villa host Villarrubia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. This one's hard to separate. Villarrubia have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while CD Villa have conceded 0.8 and scored 1.2. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.96, favoring CD Villa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
CD Villa
30%
Draws
18%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarrubia have won more games recently than CD Villa.
  • Win probability leans CD Villa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Villa Villarrubia
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 0 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Villa 85 / 100
Villarrubia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Villa Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Villa scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Villarrubia conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

CD Villa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Villarrubia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Villa VS Villarrubia
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Villa

(Home)
04 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 2
CD Villa
27 Sept
CD Villa
2 : 0
Socuellamos
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa

Villarrubia

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)