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CD Vitoria vs Padura Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Querejeta J.
36' Event
Galarza A.
72' Event
Perez E.

AI Match Summary

CD Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Vitoria
20%
Draws
33%
Padura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Vitoria have won more games recently than Padura.
  • Model gives CD Vitoria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CD Vitoria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Padura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Vitoria Padura
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 23 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 1 19
Goals Scored 1.87 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Padura
3:1
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Padura
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs CD Vitoria
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Galarza A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Padura Compare

Top Goalscorer Querejeta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Vitoria 59 / 100
Padura 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Vitoria Padura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Vitoria scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Padura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Padura
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Vitoria

(Home)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
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Padura

(Away)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Padura
30 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 2
Padura
26 Apr
Portugalete
3 : 1
Padura
17 Apr
Padura
1 : 1
Santurtzi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)