Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017

Villarrubia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Yuncos play Villarrubia in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017. Villarrubia are favorites here. Recently, CD Yuncos averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Villarrubia averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, CD Yuncos won 0, Villarrubia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 5, 2017 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for CD Yuncos and 1.11 for Villarrubia. This points to a Villarrubia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

CD Yuncos

16%

Draws

68%

Villarrubia

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

CD Yuncos picked up more points recently compared to Villarrubia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

CD Yuncos Clean Sheet 21%

Villarrubia Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Yuncos	Villarrubia
Matches Played	31	38
Wins	4	19
Draws	5	6
Losses	22	13
Goals Scored	0.68	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

CD Yuncos vs Villarrubia

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia vs CD Yuncos

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Yuncos 19 / 100

Villarrubia 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Yuncos Villarrubia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Villarrubia & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Yuncos attacking → ← attacking Villarrubia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Yuncos scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Villarrubia let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Yuncos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Villarrubia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 63

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	8	5	89:37	83
2	Conquense	38	23	6	9	74:43	75
3	Villarrobledo	38	19	13	6	75:42	70
4	Guadalajara	38	21	7	10	64:43	70
5	Villarrubia	38	20	7	11	61:38	67
6	UD Almansa	38	18	9	11	68:54	63
7	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	17	11	10	53:40	62
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	13	13	12	61:52	52
9	Azuqueca	38	15	7	16	67:57	52
10	Madridejos	38	14	9	15	43:53	51
11	Marchamalo	38	14	8	16	43:49	50
12	Almagro	38	13	10	15	44:52	49
13	Tomelloso	38	14	6	18	46:53	48
14	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	46:66	46
15	Albacete B	38	11	12	15	49:56	45
16	CD Pedroneras	38	10	15	13	46:45	45
17	Toledo 2	38	12	8	18	47:61	44
18	Illescas	38	12	3	23	56:82	39
19	UD Carrion	38	6	8	24	37:90	26
20	CD Yuncos	38	3	7	28	24:80	16