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CD Zafra vs AD Llerenense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between CD Zafra and AD Llerenense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Zafra
20%
Draws
52%
AD Llerenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Llerenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Llerenense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Zafra Clean Sheet 25%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Zafra AD Llerenense
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Zafra vs AD Llerenense
0:0
Aug 8, 2019 Club Friendly
CD Zafra vs AD Llerenense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Zafra 33 / 100
AD Llerenense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Zafra AD Llerenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Zafra scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Defensive concern: AD Llerenense conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Zafra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Zafra VS AD Llerenense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Zafra

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
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AD Llerenense

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)