Sport Picks

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CDE Madrid vs AD Alcala

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CDE Madrid in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDE Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CDE Madrid
35%
Draws
20%
AD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CDE Madrid have won more games recently than AD Alcala.
  • CDE Madrid are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 68%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDE Madrid AD Alcala
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs AD Alcala
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs CDE Madrid
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDE Madrid 68 / 100
AD Alcala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDE Madrid AD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDE Madrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Alcala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

CDE Madrid went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CDE Madrid scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CDE Madrid VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CDE Madrid

(Home)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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AD Alcala

(Away)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)