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CDE Madrid vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
CDE Madrid Logo

CDE Madrid

0 - 2
FT
Galapagar Logo

Galapagar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between CDE Madrid and Galapagar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CDE Madrid
35%
Draws
32%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galapagar come out ahead of CDE Madrid on wins alone.
  • Galapagar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 19%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDE Madrid Galapagar
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CDE Madrid
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Galapagar
0:2
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Galapagar
0:0
Sep 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CDE Madrid
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDE Madrid 10 / 100
Galapagar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDE Madrid Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDE Madrid went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CDE Madrid's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Galapagar has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galapagar
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CDE Madrid

(Home)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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Galapagar

(Away)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)