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CDE Madrid vs Real Aranjuez

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
CDE Madrid Logo

CDE Madrid

1 - 0
FT
Real Aranjuez Logo

Real Aranjuez

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CDE Madrid in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDE Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CDE Madrid
30%
Draws
6%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CDE Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Real Aranjuez.
  • Win probability leans CDE Madrid's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDE Madrid Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Real Aranjuez
1:0
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs CDE Madrid
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDE Madrid 85 / 100
Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDE Madrid Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDE Madrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: CDE Madrid stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CDE Madrid scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Real Aranjuez let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Real Aranjuez's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CDE Madrid VS Real Aranjuez
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CDE Madrid

(Home)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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Real Aranjuez

(Away)
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)