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CDE Madrid vs Trival Valderas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between CDE Madrid and Trival Valderas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDE Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
CDE Madrid
35%
Draws
27%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CDE Madrid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 16%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDE Madrid Trival Valderas
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 9 20
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CDE Madrid
1:2
Dec 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Trival Valderas
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CDE Madrid
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Trival Valderas
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDE Madrid 31 / 100
Trival Valderas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDE Madrid Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: CDE Madrid stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CDE Madrid's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Trival Valderas let in goals in 67% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trival Valderas
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CDE Madrid

(Home)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)