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CDE Madrid vs Ursaria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
CDE Madrid Logo

CDE Madrid

0 - 3
FT
Ursaria Logo

Ursaria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ursaria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ursaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
CDE Madrid
20%
Draws
28%
Ursaria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ursaria lately — more wins on the board than CDE Madrid.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CDE Madrid taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 20%
Ursaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDE Madrid Ursaria
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Ursaria
0:3
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ursaria vs CDE Madrid
1:1
Feb 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Ursaria
2:0
Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ursaria vs CDE Madrid
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDE Madrid 36 / 100
Ursaria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDE Madrid Ursaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: CDE Madrid stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CDE Madrid scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ursaria let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CDE Madrid VS Ursaria
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CDE Madrid

(Home)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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Ursaria

(Away)
05 May
Ursaria
1 : 0
Villanovense
28 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Ursaria
21 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Numancia
14 Apr
Illescas
1 : 2
Ursaria
07 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Atletico Paso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)