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CDFC La Calzada vs CCD Alberite Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dani Gomez
35' Event
Garcia Marin J.
43' Event
Manzanos M.

AI Match Summary

CDFC La Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
CDFC La Calzada
15%
Draws
8%
CCD Alberite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada have won more games recently than CCD Alberite.
  • CDFC La Calzada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 16%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada CCD Alberite
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs CCD Alberite
3:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs CDFC La Calzada
1:3
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs CDFC La Calzada
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs CCD Alberite
0:2
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs CCD Alberite
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Dani Gomez
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manzanos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CCD Alberite Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Marin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 84 / 100
CCD Alberite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada CCD Alberite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CCD Alberite's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

CDFC La Calzada scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CDFC La Calzada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
Page 1 of 7

CCD Alberite

(Away)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)