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CDFC La Calzada vs Pradejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Muro M.
37' Event
Cordon M.
87' Event
Soto D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between CDFC La Calzada and Pradejon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CDFC La Calzada
15%
Draws
26%
Pradejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CDFC La Calzada come out ahead of Pradejon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CDFC La Calzada's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 68%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada Pradejon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Pradejon
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs CDFC La Calzada
2:0
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Pradejon
3:3
Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs CDFC La Calzada
3:0
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Pradejon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Muro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pradejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 68 / 100
Pradejon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada Pradejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CDFC La Calzada found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Pradejon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

CDFC La Calzada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS Pradejon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
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Pradejon

(Away)
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)