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CDFC La Calzada vs River Ebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CDFC La Calzada host River Ebro in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: CDFC La Calzada at 1.36 goals for, 1.36 against; River Ebro at 1.03 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, CDFC La Calzada have won 4 to River Ebro's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.70 - 1.12) back CDFC La Calzada to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CDFC La Calzada
15%
Draws
21%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CDFC La Calzada come out ahead of River Ebro on wins alone.
  • CDFC La Calzada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CDFC La Calzada here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 20%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada River Ebro
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs River Ebro
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CDFC La Calzada
0:2
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs River Ebro
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CDFC La Calzada
1:3
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CDFC La Calzada
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 85 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDFC La Calzada scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

River Ebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: CDFC La Calzada remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS River Ebro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
04 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 0
Comillas CF
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 7

River Ebro

(Away)
08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2
Pradejon
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
10 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
11 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)