Sport Picks
CDFC La Calzada vs River Ebro
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 
Match Events
14'
14'
Manzanos M.
AI Match Summary
CDFC La Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDFC La Calzada.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- CDFC La Calzada have won more games recently than River Ebro.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on CDFC La Calzada taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and CDFC La Calzada have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 20%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CDFC La Calzada | River Ebro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs River Ebro
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CDFC La Calzada
0:2
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs River Ebro
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CDFC La Calzada
1:3
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CDFC La Calzada
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CDFC La Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Manzanos M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
River Ebro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CDFC La Calzada 42 / 100
River Ebro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CDFC La Calzada River Ebro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CDFC La Calzada's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
River Ebro has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Away concern: River Ebro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CDFC La Calzada VS River Ebro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CDFC La Calzada
(Home) 06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1 Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 Pradejon
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1 Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 Pradejon
26 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 0 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 4
River Ebro
(Away) 06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2 Comillas CF
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2 Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1 River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1 Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1 River Ebro
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1 River Ebro
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1 River Ebro
06 Apr
Naxara
6 : 0 River Ebro
23 Mar
UD Logrones B
1 : 1 River Ebro
09 Mar
Comillas CF
0 : 2 River Ebro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naxara | 34 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 107:12 | 93 |
| 2 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91:29 | 79 |
| 3 | Varea | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 65:35 | 68 |
| 4 | Arnedo | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64:35 | 61 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 52:36 | 56 |
| 6 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:31 | 54 |
| 7 | CD Calahorra B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 51:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 46:52 | 47 |
| 9 | Yague | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:66 | 45 |
| 10 | Agoncillo | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Berceo | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | 40 |
| 12 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40:52 | 37 |
| 13 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Vianes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30:44 | 33 |
| 15 | Autol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 27:58 | 31 |
| 16 | Casalarreina CF | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 36:88 | 28 |
| 17 | River Ebro | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:59 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Tedeon | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26:73 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
