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CDR Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015 game between CDR Quarteirense and Lusitano VRSA finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano VRSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CDR Quarteirense
44%
Draws
20%
Lusitano VRSA
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • CDR Quarteirense haven't matched Lusitano VRSA's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CDR Quarteirense Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitano VRSA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDR Quarteirense Lusitano VRSA
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Lusitano VRSA vs CDR Quarteirense
2:2
Mar 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
CDR Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA
0:1
Nov 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Lusitano VRSA vs CDR Quarteirense
1:0
Aug 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
CDR Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDR Quarteirense 36 / 100
Lusitano VRSA 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDR Quarteirense Lusitano VRSA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano VRSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Lusitano VRSA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

CDR Quarteirense found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

CDR Quarteirense VS Lusitano VRSA
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Angrense1465319:1841
2Moura AC1475219:837
3Lusitano VRSA1445520:1831
4SC Praiense1445520:2330
5Atletico SC1449117:1227
6Aljustrelense1435617:3123
7CDR Quarteirense1436519:1522
8Ferreiras1426617:2322