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CE Atletic Lleida vs CF Badalona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CE Atletic Lleida host CF Badalona in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. CF Badalona have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while CE Atletic Lleida have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, CE Atletic Lleida have won 0 to CF Badalona's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.56) back CF Badalona to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CE Atletic Lleida
15%
Draws
48%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Badalona come out ahead of CE Atletic Lleida on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CF Badalona's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 15%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida CF Badalona
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Atletic Lleida vs CF Badalona
0:1
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs CE Atletic Lleida
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Atletic Lleida vs CF Badalona
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs CE Atletic Lleida
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 15 / 100
CF Badalona 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Badalona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CE Atletic Lleida scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CE Atletic Lleida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CF Badalona has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS CF Badalona
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
10 Oct
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
0 : 3
CE Atletic Lleida
04 Oct
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 1
Pobla Mafumet
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
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CF Badalona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
27 Sept
CF Badalona
4 : 0
San Cristobal CP
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)