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CE Atletic Lleida vs Mollerussa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pascual J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between CE Atletic Lleida and Mollerussa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Atletic Lleida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CE Atletic Lleida
20%
Draws
44%
Mollerussa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mollerussa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mollerussa come out ahead of CE Atletic Lleida on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CE Atletic Lleida here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 17%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida Mollerussa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Atletic Lleida vs Mollerussa
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs CE Atletic Lleida
0:4
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Atletic Lleida vs Mollerussa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mollerussa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 36 / 100
Mollerussa 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida Mollerussa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Atletic Lleida scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Mollerussa let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CE Atletic Lleida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS Mollerussa
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
16 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

Mollerussa

(Away)
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
03 May
Mollerussa
1 : 2
FE Grama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
2 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
3 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 CF Badalona 4 2 0 2 7:3 6
5 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
6 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
7 Pobla Mafumet 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
8 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
9 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
10 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
11 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
12 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
13 CE Europa B 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
15 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
16 CE Atletic Lleida 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
17 UE Tona 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)