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CE Atletic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sogorb C.
48'
Romero F.
48'
Romero F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CE Atletic Lleida
20%
Draws
40%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pobla Mafumet have won more games recently than CE Atletic Lleida.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 15%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Atletic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Pobla Mafumet Compare

Top Goalscorer Sogorb C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 35 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida Pobla Mafumet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CE Atletic Lleida scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Pobla Mafumet let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CE Atletic Lleida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS Pobla Mafumet
1 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
10 Oct
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
0 : 3
CE Atletic Lleida
04 Oct
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 1
Pobla Mafumet
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

Pobla Mafumet

(Away)
04 Oct
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 1
Pobla Mafumet
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 CE Atletic Lleida 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
6 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
7 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 FC Lescala 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
9 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
10 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
11 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
12 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
13 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 Vilassar de Mar 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
18 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)