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CE Atletic Lleida vs Tudelano

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
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Match Events

61' Event
Mas C.

AI Match Summary

CE Atletic Lleida in this Copa Federacion 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CE Atletic Lleida
30%
Draws
47%
Tudelano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tudelano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tudelano lately — more wins on the board than CE Atletic Lleida.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Tudelano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CE Atletic Lleida, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 14%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida Tudelano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
CE Atletic Lleida vs Tudelano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Mas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tudelano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 31 / 100
Tudelano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida Tudelano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tudelano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Atletic Lleida's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tudelano has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tudelano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS Tudelano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
16 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
08 Aug
UD Barbastro
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

Tudelano

(Away)
13 Sept
Girona B
3 : 1
Tudelano
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
16 May
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Tudelano
09 May
Tudelano
0 : 1
Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0