Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2013

AD Astro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play AD Astro in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. AD Astro averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 2, AD Astro won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for CE Flamengo and 1.44 for AD Astro. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

CE Flamengo

24%

Draws

24%

AD Astro

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

CE Flamengo picked up more points recently compared to AD Astro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 16%

AD Astro Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CE Flamengo	AD Astro
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	6
Draws	8	7
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	0.94	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2013 Baiano 2

AD Astro vs CE Flamengo

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Apr 27, 2013 Baiano 2

CE Flamengo vs AD Astro

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 50 / 100

AD Astro 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CE Flamengo AD Astro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CE Flamengo attacking → ← attacking AD Astro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

AD Astro let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AD Astro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 25

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galicia	8	4	1	3	10:9	13
2	Catuense	8	4	1	3	9:8	13
3	Camacari	8	4	1	3	10:12	13
4	EC Ypiranga	8	3	2	3	13:7	11
5	Ipitanga	8	2	1	5	7:13	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itabuna	8	5	0	3	11:5	15
2	CE Flamengo	8	4	2	2	13:9	14
3	Colo Colo	8	4	1	3	11:8	13
4	Jequie	8	2	3	3	9:13	9
5	AD Astro	8	1	2	5	5:14	5