Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2015

Botafogo BA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play Botafogo BA in the Baiano 2 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Botafogo BA averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 1, Botafogo BA won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 10, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for CE Flamengo and 0.94 for Botafogo BA. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

CE Flamengo

23%

Draws

38%

Botafogo BA

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

CE Flamengo picked up more points recently compared to Botafogo BA.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 24%

Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CE Flamengo	Botafogo BA
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0.9	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.06	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2022 Baiano 2

Botafogo BA vs CE Flamengo

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

May 10, 2015 Baiano 2

CE Flamengo vs Botafogo BA

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 40 / 100

Botafogo BA 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CE Flamengo Botafogo BA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CE Flamengo attacking → ← attacking Botafogo BA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Botafogo BA let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Botafogo BA lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fluminense de Feira	8	5	1	2	15:10	16
2	CE Flamengo	8	4	3	1	13:6	15
3	Juazeiro	8	4	2	2	13:13	14
4	Itabuna	8	3	3	2	13:10	12
5	EC Ypiranga	8	3	3	2	10:7	12
6	Grapiuna	8	3	1	4	11:9	10
7	Botafogo BA	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
8	Alagoinhas	8	1	3	4	5:10	6
9	Jequie	8	1	2	5	10:21	5